Note: The awards beneath are based on who would win if the vote was captivated today. Added stars may arise in the second-half of the season, while injuries could bang players currently in form.
Mahomes is the delinquent favorite, as he should be: his numbers are insane. Nobody is declared to accumulate clip with peak-Peyton Manning or apex-Tom Brady in agreement of production, let abandoned in their aboriginal abounding year as a amateur – and yet Mahomes has. Arguments that he’s aided by an accomplished apprenticeship agents and a abundance accession of weapons are valid, but that won’t stop him from acceptable the award.
There’s a case to be fabricated for Drew Brees, allotment lifetime accomplishment award, allotment ablaze quarterback who’s baffled all his powers. It’s crazy that Brees – one of the 12 greatest quarterbacks anytime – has yet to win an MVP but that’s what happens aback you comedy in the era of Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers.
Looking to who will win MVP at the end of the season, Brady still has a shout. If the Patriots assure the No1 berry in the AFC, Brady’s name will be up there again. He’s been every bit as acceptable as he was aftermost year on the way to acceptable the award. Voter fatigue apparently costs him a absolute shot.
I accept the arguments for Todd Gurley and Jared Goff. They’re the top accomplishment players on a abundant team. Goff makes added sense, to me, than Gurley, admitting the Rams absolutely actuality a run-first breach – the active position is aloof added interchangeable. It additionally feels like the majority of any Rams acclamation will be siphoned into McVay’s Drillmaster of the Year candidacy.
Oh, and activity forward, don’t beddy-bye on Cam Newton, who is accepting a bigger division through eight weeks than he did at the balance of his 2015 MVP run.
It’s not abundant of a race. It’s Donald v Mack. If you appetite to add JJ Watt in, feel chargeless to. Watt has alternate to abounding bloom and been about as ascendant as before; he apparently has a bigger case for Comeback Player of the Year though.
This seemed like Khalil Mack’s accolade to lose a brace of weeks into the season. He was a accurate one-man accident crew, demography over primetime amateur and authoritative added how-did-he-do-that plays than anyone this ancillary of Lawrence Taylor. But Mack’s assembly has dipped, and he’s been aggressive abiding injuries. He’s already absent two games, giving anybody abroad in the chase an high hand.
Donald, it is then. The Rams arresting ballast leads the NFL in arresting pressures, per Football Outsiders. Donald is already up to 30.5, added than three pressures bigger than additional place. Donald additionally leads the alliance in sacks. All this while actuality double-teamed on 70% of his snaps. You couldn’t boss like that in a video d if you toggled all the settings to rookie. By comparison, Mack has 13 pressures in six games.
Gurley has absolutely becoming the accolade and the acclamation that has arise his way. The Rams comedy in a run-first arrangement but aloof because the team’s drillmaster is advised a new-age, abhorrent savant, doesn’t beggarly that a) his aggregation is a pass-first accouterments or b) that his players don’t accept to execute.
The added top candidates for this awards are Adam Thielen and Tyreek Hill. Thielen is accomplishing things we’ve never apparent before, not from Calvin Johnson, Randy Moss, or alike Jerry Rice. Eight times Thielen has accomplished with added than 100 accepting yards in a d this season, breaking Johnson’s almanac of seven. Not bad for addition who went undrafted out of Minnesota State. He leads all receivers in DYAR, a admeasurement of a player’s absolute value. There are still eight amateur to go.
We accept a beeline shootout amid Saquon Barkley and Calvin Ridley. We’re talking assembly and appulse v belly greatness. Barkley has added “wow” moments. Ridley has fabricated the greater appulse – he’s aboriginal in receiver DVOA, the admeasurement of a receivers down-to-down efficiency. Barkley, for what it’s worth, is 15th in hasty DVOA and 10th amid active backs in receiving.
Barkley is a added acclaimed name and he plays in New York but on merit, Ridley apparently deserves it, at atomic so far: he’s sixth amid all receivers in per comedy value. Accepting said that, no one is activity to lose any beddy-bye if Barkley takes this. He’s as fun to watch as any aback who’s arise into the alliance in a long, continued time.
The alliance ability as able-bodied address this accolade out to Derwin James now. Few defenders beyond the alliance accept had the affectionate of appulse James has for the Chargers in his amateur season.
James is a array of energy, a Tasmanian Devil let apart to roam a football field. He plays at all levels of the defense. On any one series, you will see him lined up on the band of scrimmage, as a linebacker, in the slot, or as a abysmal safety. He’s aition the dropbacks of quarterbacks at a clip agnate to the league’s upper-echelon edge-rushers. He is burglary quarterbacks at a amount no assurance anytime has before. The numbers are so arrant they’re about laughable.
The Colts’ Darius Leonard and Denzel Ward accept both been excellent. They’re appropriately admirable of recognition. But no one, adept or rookie, is arena the d absolutely like James appropriate now.
I can’t bethink a COTY aces anytime actuality this obvious, accustomed that Bill Belichick doesn’t arise to agency into the equation. There will be a choir of choir allurement for Andy Reid. In a accustomed year, Reid would and should win it.
But this isn’t a accustomed year. McVay’s Rams are the best complete aggregation in football – by a appropriate margin. His abhorrent abracadabra is apparent on a play-to-play basis. Big time hires (Wade Phillips) and affairs (Ndamukong Suh, Brandin Cooks) are alive out.
Luck edges the voting over JJ Watt. He has rebounded from a adverse accept abrasion to advance all non-Mahomes quarterbacks in touchdowns, with 23 through eight amateur appropriately far. Added impressively, Luck has acquired his d post-injury. He’s accepting rid of the brawl quicker than at any point in his career: his boilerplate time to bandy is amid the quickest in the league.
There are aloof abundant glimpses of the old, adventurous Luck to accompany a smile to your face. He will still extend a comedy and barrage a bang downfield with defenders decrepit off his body. It was a circuitous route, but Luck is now aback to his best.
My preseason aces was Vikings-Patriots. I didn’t appetite to stick to the book anticipation and booty Rams-Patriots because the accessible preseason antagonism rarely comes to fruition. But I am annihilation if not a coward. So, I’m flipping my pick: Patriots-Rams it is.
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