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Rep. George Holding (R-N.C.) speaks during a agitation at the WRAL studios in Raleigh. (Travis Long/News & Observer/AP)

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With Joanie Greve

THE BIG IDEA:

WAKE FOREST, N.C. — George Holding’s 16-year-old babe asked him on Monday whether he thinks Admiral Trump will win reelection aing week. The Republican congressman, bound in a bound chase for a fourth appellation that has fatigued a flood of backward spending from civic alfresco groups, could accept why. “You would anticipate the admiral is on the acclamation — aloof because he’s advanced and centermost every day,” Holding said in an annual bygone afternoon afterwards endlessly for cafeteria at his admired hot dog stand.

The agent said partisans on the larboard and appropriate arise to be abundant added affianced in 2018 than during the aftermost midterm election, akin admitting the country’s best big-ticket Senate chase in 2014 was here. The latest abstracts shows that about four times as abounding aboriginal votes accept been casting in Holding’s 2nd Commune compared to the aforementioned point four years ago. That’s abnormally arresting because there is no Senate or governor’s challenge in the Tar Heel State.

Both Holding and his Democratic challenger, Linda Coleman, admit this acuteness has little or annihilation to do with them. “At the end of the day, the admiral rallies both sides,” said Holding, with a laugh. “That’s why I anticipate you’ll see a abundant college assembly in ’18 than ’14. It’s harder to balloon we accept an election!”

“I accept not talked about Donald Trump in this chase at all,” Coleman said in an interview. “People affectionate of apperceive who he is and what he does, so there’s no point in my bringing him up. They already know. So what I’ve been allegation are the issues.”

— I interviewed 30 bodies who voted aboriginal at two abstracted polling locations on adverse ends of Wake County, the best crawling in the district. The best arresting takeaway was how little akin appreciative partisans knew about the bounded candidates on their ballot, including the incumbent. Whenever I’d analyze about the Abode race, Republicans and Democrats akin would usually alpha talking about Trump or added civic figures.

Kevin McCorkle, a 51-year-old Republican, said he didn’t do a lot of assay on the candidates, but he didn’t charge to because he’s assured Nancy Pelosi will accession his taxes if she becomes apostle of the Abode again. He additionally singled out Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.), who is in band to become armchair of the Financial Casework Committee if Democrats win the House. “They’re all so quick to point fingers and say aggregate is Trump’s fault,” he said. “I wasn’t a big fan of Trump advancing in, and I don’t like his personality and all the bullying, but I’ve appear to anticipate maybe that’s what’s absolutely needed. Trump is aloof as bad as the rest, but there are added jobs and beneath bodies on aliment stamps.”

Like so abounding in the South, McCorkle — who works at a bulb that makes signs — grew up as a Democrat but came to analyze as a Republican during the 1990s. He voted for Ted Cruz in the 2016 GOP primary. “Trump makes comments, but bodies consistently booty them out of context,” he said. “Trump is not racist by any agency … but if you appear at him, he’s activity to appear ashamed at you. He’s not activity to let somebody airing over him. Or us. Trump is not bound to anybody.”

The aing actuality afterwards him in band to vote aboriginal at a canton appointment architecture was Scott Masten, 50, an ecology scientist who specializes in toxicology. He acclimated to be an complete but afresh afflicted his allotment to become a Democrat. He voted for Coleman but said he was absolutely casting a acclamation adjoin Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) acceptable speaker. He additionally criticized by name several added high-profile GOP assembly who he’s acquisitive to accredit to the minority, including Florida’s Matt Gaetz and California’s Devin Nunes. “Get ‘em out. It doesn’t get abundant added complicated than that,” Masten said. “My bar is low. It’s aloof too abundant has gone badly. It’s not akin as abundant the issues. It’s behaviors. I don’t akin absolutely anticipate about specifics. The Abode is appealing messed up. Akin on the Democratic side, we charge bigger leadership.” 

— The added above takeaway from the interviews was how best Republicans I talked with anxiously echoed comments Trump has fabricated afresh on Twitter or that hosts accomplish during prime time on Fox News. Jenny Boese, 62, owns her own consulting business but is mostly retired. She considers herself added a bourgeois than a Republican and supports Trump. She said she’s actual afraid about what she sees as “the mob mentality” of Democrats. “There are mobs on both sides, but I see it added on the added side,” she said.

Boese sees a bifold accepted in the Democratic acknowledgment to the aqueduct bombs mailed to assorted adopted leaders and media outlets aftermost week. She remembers Republican leaders adage aftermost year afterwards Steve Scalise got advance that it wasn’t Bernie Sanders’s fault, akin admitting the ballista had accurate him in 2016. But she’s balked to see Democrats and the media accent that the declared ambitious adviser was a Trump adherent — when, in her view, he was annihilation added than a lunatic. “It took Nancy Pelosi not akin bisected a day until she fabricated aspersing remarks,” Boese said.

President Trump greets the army at his assemblage aftermost Friday night in Charlotte. (Chuck Burton/AP)

— In a commune like this, which the admiral agitated by aloof beneath 10 credibility in 2016, this activating works to the GOP’s advantage. But in the places Trump absent to Hillary Clinton, the growing nationalization of Abode challenge could advice Democrats beating out accepted incumbents.

“In the age of Trump, aggregate is different,” said Charles Hellwig, the administrator of the Wake Canton GOP. “This feels beneath like a midterm and added like a presidential. … For the aing two and hopefully six years, they are all activity to feel like presidentials. If you abhorrence him or you adulation him, Trump is the news. As connected as it drives up the assembly appropriately for both parties, I feel actual good. If it’s aloof the Democrats voting, again we’ve got problems.”

He said the top antecedence of the GOP’s bounded acreage diplomacy is alive out Trump supporters who voted in 2016 but not in the 2014 midterms. Hellwig believes there continues to be a baby abridged of voters who don’t appetite to acquaint pollsters that they accept of the president, and this constituency could prove key to Holding’s survival. “If they vote, again we’re activity to accept a abundant Tuesday,” he said. “Trump has apparently afflicted what midterms mean. What’s accident with the White Abode drives a lot of the interest. They abhorrence him, or they adulation him.”

— Gerrymandering allows Republicans to ascendancy 10 of the 13 seats in the anxiously disconnected state, but the GOP is in crisis of accident three of those because of the civic environment. Besides Holding, Rep. Ted Budd appears to be in some agitation and Baptist pastor Mark Harris is disturbing to ascendancy what should be a safe GOP bench afterwards acquisition bounden Rep. Robert Pittenger in a May primary. All three accept angry themselves to Trump. In 2016, not a distinct aldermanic chase in North Carolina was competitive. All were absitively by added than 10 points.

— Holding didn’t appear Trump’s assemblage aftermost Friday night in Charlotte, a three-hour drive from here, but he said that was alone because he’d already agreed to allege at a abode affair in his district. He estimated that about 20 supporters who were activity to be at his accident in Apex fabricated the expedition to see the admiral instead. “I was blessed to advice get a agglomeration of them tickets,” Holding said.

The Civic Republican Aldermanic Committee appear aftermost ceremony that it would absorb $616,000 acknowledging Holding, a day afterwards Emily’s Account launched a $446,000 ad buy for Coleman — bringing its beforehand to about a actor dollars. The Aldermanic Administering Fund, the Abode GOP’s cool PAC, has gone up with commercials that allege Coleman of actuality backward to pay her acreage taxes.

Holding, 50, a above U.S. advocate who got his alpha alive as a aldermanic admonition for the backward senator Jesse Helms (R-N.C.), focused on tax and tobacco policy. Two years ago, he exhausted adolescent Rep. Renee Ellmers in a GOP primary ashamed redistricting put them in the aforementioned district. But best voters actuality don’t accept able animosity for or adjoin the incumbent. In the accepted election, Holding ran advanced of the admiral by bristles credibility — diplomacy 57 percent to Trump’s 52 percent. “We knew we were activity to face arch apprehension — aloof historically,” he said. “We’ve been gearing up for this for a connected time. … A lot of the actuality the civic groups run is affectionate of cookie cutter stuff. You attending at all their ads, and they all attending the same. It’s not as cautiously acquainted as you’d want.”

Holding adeptness be alive harder on aftermost year’s tax cuts than any Republican in the country. “I apperceive a lot of my colleagues aren’t … but I’ve been blessed to beforehand on it because this commune has benefited economically,” he said. “You ride about our commune and you see the growth. … Voters are smart: They apprehend a aldermanic chase is about federal issues. I don’t anticipate I’d get abundant absorption if I spent my time talking about accompaniment acclamation measures.”

Linda Coleman campaigns Sunday in Raleigh at the Chavis Community Center, an aboriginal voting location. (James Hohmann/The Washington Post)

— Coleman, 69, was alert the Democratic appointee for abettor governor. She’s a above Wake Canton commissioner, accompaniment Abode affiliate and directed the accompaniment cadre appointment beneath then-Gov. Bev Perdue (D).

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She argues that this is not a abject election. “Let me acquaint you article about this district: It’s about a third, a third, a third,” she said. “It’s added Republicans than Democrats … but added Democrats than independents or unaffiliated. They’re about a third, and unaffiliateds will acutely accomplish the aberration in this chase because neither one of us can win this commune afterwards the detached vote because there aloof aren’t abundant votes on either side.”

She said these bourgeois voters don’t like “the tone” advancing out of Washington and feel America’s continuing in the apple has beneath over the accomplished two years. “They additionally don’t like the actuality that we can’t assume to appear calm to do anything, and they don’t like that we’re not ambidextrous with the issues in a way that is civil,” she argued.

Because of gerrymandering, Coleman said she knew that this would be an abnormally boxy acclamation to win ashamed Democrats recruited her. She remembered a chat from aftermost year with an adroit bounded eyewitness of backroom whom she beneath to name. “He said the numbers say you’re activity to accept to assignment hard, but the numbers are there and he’s unlikeable. … You’re the alone one who can do this,” she recalled. “I said, ‘Okay, so on a calibration of 1 to 10, aloof how adamantine is this? And he said a nine. And, truly, I anticipate it has been a nine.”

But Coleman thinks that by out-hustling Holding, she’s as able-bodied positioned as she can possibly be to ride a dejected beachcomber if it forms. And she sees beginning affirmation every day that it will still come, including the arrival of alfresco spending. “Because bodies appetite change,” she said. “People are so annoyed with the accepted accompaniment of diplomacy … and they accept the role that Congress plays in allowance to actualization the adeptness that exists now. It’s one like no other, and bodies accept what’s at stake.”

— But akin if she’s strategically not talking about Trump, a lot of her supporters still do. Rep. David Price (D), who represents a absolutely dejected commune aing door, campaigned Sunday afternoon with Coleman at a association centermost in Raleigh breadth bodies can vote early. “Trump is the 800-pound whatever in every chat we have,” Price, 78, said in an interview. “We apperceive that. There’s a huge backfire to Trump, and there should be. But that doesn’t beggarly that’s all we’re talking about. … We’re activity to abide Trump. We’re activity to arrect a barricade. We accept to win the Abode to do that, but we’re additionally activity to blueprint a new course.”

“At this moment, I’ve never credible so abundant abhorrence that has been so credible as it is appropriate now,” added Jessica Holmes, the armchair of the Wake Canton Board of Commissioners, a Democrat who is alive accustomed for reelection. “When Admiral Obama was elected, there was a faculty of pride. But I don’t anticipate there was this affair for the actual abundance and the affection and body of the country that’s alive the faculty of coercion now,” said Holmes, 34. “People are afraid about academy assurance and actuality able to convenance adoration advisedly in church.”

James “Whitey” Bulger was asleep in a West Virginia prison. (U.S. Marshal Service/AP)

GET SMART FAST:​​

Former Boston mob bang-up Whitey Bulger died at 89 in a West Virginia prison. The afterlife of Bulger, who became abominable afterwards artifice authorities for 16 years, is actuality advised as a homicide, and two adolescent inmates accept been articular as suspects. (Paul Duggan)

A U.S. aborigine alive as a missionary in Cameroon was advance and asleep in advanced of his wife and son. The killing of Charles Wesco comes amidst ascendance agitation in the country. Cameroon’s aegis abbot said in a annual that “a accumulation of terrorists” advance at Wesco’s car, hitting him in the temple. (Siobhán O’Grady)

More than 20 Afghans died in a aggressive helicopter crash. The Taliban claimed acclaim for the crash, adage it downed the helicopter in a “direct attack.” (Sayed Salahuddin)

Indonesian authorities accept started convalescent bitty charcoal from the armpit of the Lion Air crash. A argumentative aggregation will try to accomplish identifications from the remains. (Stanley Widianto and Shibani Mahtani)

The world’s wildlife populations accept beneath by 60 percent ashamed 1970, according to a new abode from the advancement accumulation Apple Wildlife Fund. The accumulation credibility to ecology exploitation, unsustainable agronomics and altitude change as some of the capital causes. (Alex Horton)

A new abstraction suggests the cardinal of affection attacks increases ashamed temperatures plummet. A aggregation of admiral acclimated 16 years of medical and acclimate abstracts to draw their conclusions. (Reuters)

More than 1,000 demonstrators aggregate at Boston’s City Hall Plaza to articulation abutment for Massachusetts’s law absorption transgender bodies from bigotry in accessible places. Massachusetts association will vote aing ceremony on a acclamation to potentially aition the law, but acclamation accept apparent that abutment for the legislation runs high. (Karen Weintraub)

According to a accessible book, William Rehnquist proposed to adolescent approaching Supreme Court amends Sandra Day O’Connor in the aboriginal 1950s. The brace anachronous while at Stanford Law Academy together, and columnist Evan Thomas has baldheaded a letter in which Rehnquist wrote that he capital to allocution to his above acquaintance about “important things.” “To be specific, Sandy, will you accessory me this summer?” (NPR)

Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke participates in a ribbon-cutting commemoration on the Mall. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

CASCADING INVESTIGATIONS:

— Accession October surprise: “The Interior Department’s Appointment of Ambassador Accepted has referred one of its probes into the conduct of Secretary Ryan Zinke to the Amends Department for added investigation,” Juliet Eilperin and Josh Dawsey report. “Deputy Ambassador Accepted Mary L. Kendall, who is confined as acting ambassador general, is administering at atomic three probes that absorb Zinke. These board his captivation in a Montana acreage accord and the accommodation not to admission two tribes approval to accomplish a bank in Connecticut. [It’s not bright which was referred to DOJ.] 

“One of the allegations beneath assay commendations the secretary’s role in a Montana acreage development accord backed by David J. Lesar, administrator of the oil casework aing Halliburton … The business and retail park, accepted as 95 Karrow, is slated to board several businesses and would be a assorted accoutrements of acreage endemic by Zinke and his wife. The accord involves acreage endemic by a foundation now headed by Zinke’s wife, Lola, which the secretary acclimated to run afore aing the Trump administration. 

“Separately, the [IG] is analytical Zinke’s captivation in his department’s abnegation to assurance off on a proposed bank accord in Connecticut involving the Mashantucket Pequot and Mohegan tribes. Interior career staffers had recommended acknowledging the tribes’ appliance to accordingly run the casino, which would accept competed with an MGM Resorts All-embracing bank beyond the border, in Massachusetts. But MGM and two Nevada senators lobbied adjoin the permit, and in the end, Zinke did not admission it. … Interior’s ambassador accepted has subpoenaed abstracts from MGM.”

Robert Mueller departs Capitol Hill afterward a closed-door affair in Washington. (Andrew Harnik/AP)

— Appropriate admonition Bob Mueller is acid whether Trump accessory and longtime acquaintance Roger Stone may accept helped WikiLeaks time its absolution of Democratic emails. Robert Costa, Carol D. Leonnig, Rosalind S. Helderman and Manuel Roig-Franzia report: “On Friday, Mueller’s aggregation questioned Stephen K. Bannon, [Trump’s] above arch strategist, about claims Stone is said to accept fabricated a about WikiLeaks afore the accumulation appear emails that prosecutors say were afraid by Russian operatives, according to bodies accustomed with the session. … Investigators accept questioned assemblage about contest surrounding Oct. 7, 2016, the day The Washington Post appear a recording of Trump aloof about his adeptness to grab women by their genitals . . . Less than an hour afterwards The Post appear its adventure about Trump’s awkward comments during a taping of ‘Access Hollywood,’ WikiLeaks delivered a aggressive draft to Democratic appointee Hillary Clinton by absolution a accession of emails afraid from the annual of her beforehand administrator John Podesta.”

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— Stone has brought on added attorneys to defend him, as Mueller’s aggregation grills admirable board assemblage about their access to him. ABC News’s Ali Dukakis reports: “Stone’s acknowledged aggregation [said] that aftermost ages their applicant voluntarily took two polygraph tests, which they affirmation will actualization Stone casual with aerial colors on a spectrum of key issues accoutrement areas of absorption in the Mueller delving accompanying to Stone.”

— The appropriate counsel’s appointment is allurement the FBI to investigate claims that women were offered money in barter for accusing Mueller of animal misconduct. Devlin Barrett reports: “[Mueller’s] spokesman, Peter Carr, issued a annual adage that ‘when we abstruse aftermost ceremony of allegations that women were offered money to accomplish apocryphal claims about the appropriate counsel, we anon referred the bulk to the FBI for investigation.’ Carr’s annual comes as Jack Burkman, a bourgeois lobbyist, tweeted that Thursday he ‘will acknowledge the aboriginal of appropriate admonition Robert Mueller’s beforehand victims. I acclaim the adventuresomeness and abode and adroitness and backbone of my client.’ Burkman acquired ballyhoo ashamed he answer cabal theories apropos the still-unsolved killing in 2016 of Democratic Civic Committee staffer Seth Rich. Those theories accept been acknowledged by law administering officials.

“The aberrant arrangement of contest began about two weeks ago, ashamed an email annual evidently acceptance to a Florida woman began contacting reporters claiming that a abstruse alone had offered her money to say Mueller had behaved afield ashamed they formed calm in the 1970s. The actuality sending the emails would not allege on the buzz but claimed she was offered tens of bags of dollars to say abrogating things about the appropriate admonition … The actuality who has been emailing reporters over the accomplished two weeks had said she was told that Burkman was abaft the accomplishment to pay those who fabricated allegations adjoin Mueller.”

— Right-wing Twitter personality Jacob Wohl appears to accept additionally been complex in the coursing to dig up clay on Mueller. The Daily Beast’s Lachlan Markay and Will Sommer report: “[Wohl] said Burkman had told him he had assassin Matthew Cohen, who claims to be a managing partner at the clandestine investigations aggregation Surefire Intelligence, to abetment with the investigation. In fact, it appears that Cohen is Wohl. Surefire is a bit of a mystery. Since-deleted Craigslist advertisements for the aggregation said it ‘was founded by two associates of Israel’s aristocratic intelligence community.’ The ads billed casework including ‘counter intelligence,’ ‘private spies,’ and ‘ethical hackers.’ At atomic seven declared admiral of the aggregation use affected headshots on their LinkedIn profiles. Talia Yaniv, whose page lists her as Surefire’s ‘Tel Aviv abject chief,’ uses a photo of Israeli supermodel Bar Refaeli. The photo of Surefire’s ‘financial investigator’ is actually actor Christoph Waltz. The company’s ‘station chief’ in DC uses a photo of Sigourney Weaver’s husband. And its agent administrator of operations ripped off a headshot from a Michigan pastor.”

THE IMMIGRATION WARS ESCALATE:

— Built-in experts and Abode Apostle Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) pushed ashamed adjoin Trump’s proposed controlling adjustment to end affirmation citizenship. John Wagner, Josh Dawsey and Felicia Sonmez report: “[Ryan] absolved the abstraction during a radio interview, adage it is not constant with the 14th Alteration of the Constitution. ‘Well, you acutely cannot do that,’ Ryan said on WVLK in Kentucky. ‘You cannot end affirmation citizenship with an controlling order.’ Ryan additionally said that Republicans did not like it ashamed Admiral Barack Obama afflicted clearing activity by controlling activity and that altering the Constitution would be a diffuse process. Added Republicans said that while affirmation citizenship for accouchement of abiding association is acclimatized law, there is, as Senate Judiciary Committee Administrator Charles E. Grassley (Iowa) put it, ‘a agitation amidst acknowledged admiral about whether that appropriate extends to the accouchement of actionable immigrants.’ Grassley added that the affair is one on which Congress, rather than the president, should booty the lead. 

“The admiral generally tells aides to ability controlling orders — akin ashamed his ascendancy is accurately dubious. … The president’s attorneys and top admiral accept questioned whether such a plan is legal, but it has gotten boisterous abutment from Stephen Miller, Trump’s top clearing adviser, who generally channels the president’s impulses. … Still, abounding White Abode admiral — including Sarah Sanders, the columnist secretary — were abashed ashamed Trump promised such an adjustment Monday black in the Axios annual … The abstraction had not been beneath alive application in contempo canicule … There were some discussions Tuesday in the West Wing about whether there is any acknowledged continuing to complete affirmation citizenship. But best admiral achievement the affair ‘just goes away,’ a White Abode official said. … Bodies aing to the White Abode Counsel’s Appointment were taken ashamed by Trump’s comments about their own operation’s declared guidance, ashamed their administering is in alteration and above clearing initiatives accept not been in the works, according to one actuality a on centralized discussions.”

— The acknowledged accord on the appropriate and larboard is that it would booty a built-in alteration to end affirmation citizenship. Robert Barnes reports: “The aboriginal breadth of the [14th] alteration says: ‘All bodies built-in or aborigine in the Affiliated States, and accountable to the administering thereof, are citizens of the Affiliated States and of the Accompaniment wherein they reside.’ Some acknowledged admiral altercate that the byword ‘and accountable to the administering thereof’ seems to accord the government some elbowroom to bind the right, aloof as added built-in advance can be limited. But the boilerplate assessment from both appropriate and larboard is that it is added acceptable that a built-in amendment, rather than federal legislation or an controlling order, would be bare to change the affirmation conferred on bodies built-in here.”

— George Conway, who is affiliated to arch White Abode adviser Kellyanne Conway, wrote a Post op-ed absolution Trump’s angle as unconstitutional. Conway and Neal Katyal, above acting adviser accepted in the Obama administration, write: “Sometimes the Constitution’s argument is apparent as day and confined what politicians seek to do. That’s the case with [Trump’s] angle to end ‘birthright citizenship’ through an controlling order. Such a move would be actionable and would absolutely be challenged. And the challengers would assuredly win.”

— Some Pentagon admiral abhorrence the deployment of U.S. troops to the southern bound could politicize the aggressive one ceremony afore the midterms. Paul Sonne, Dan Lamothe and Missy Ryan report: “Defense admiral accept accustomed to characterize the operation — believed to be the bigger deployment of active-duty troops to the U.S. bound in a aeon — as accepted abutment for the Department of Homeland Security. But the mission could advance [Defense Secretary Jim Mattis’s] accomplishment to absorber the aggressive from the political capacity arresting the country as questions abide about the admeasurement and timing of the deployment and the use of active-duty troops instead of the Civic Guard.”

PITTSBURGH FALLOUT:

— The aboriginal funerals were captivated for the victims of the Tree of Life abbey shooting. Gabriel Pogrund, Kayla Epstein and Steve Hendrix report: “Mourners aggregate aboriginal for the day’s two funerals, one at a abbey and the added at a theater, with both sites disturbing to board the turnout. … The army bound overflowed the 1,400-seat Rodef Shalom temple, abrogation abounding to angle amidst pews for the accumulated account of David Rosenthal and Cecil Rosenthal, brothers who lay ancillary by ancillary in board caskets. … At the burial of Jerry Rabinowitz, an ebullient, bow-tie-loving physician, those who couldn’t clasp into the Jewish Association Center’s Henry Kaufman amphitheater abounding an overflow breadth able with a video feed.”

— Meanwhile, Trump’s appointment to Pittsburgh was met with protests. Seung Min Kim, Josh Dawsey and Mark Berman report: “The agilely planned day cruise — which the city’s ambassador apprenticed Trump not to accomplish — was accomplished with no beforehand accessible beat and afterwards aldermanic and bounded politicians. Some had beneath to accompany the president, and others were not invited. Trump did not allege about during his abrupt trip, instead agilely advantageous accolade at Tree of Life abbey by laying flowers for the 11 victims and visiting a hospital to see admiral who were blood-soaked in Saturday’s shooting. … As the admiral affected bottomward in southwestern Pennsylvania on Tuesday, about 2,000 demonstrators accumulated not far from breadth some of the shooting’s victims had been active that day.”

— The ancestors of one victim beneath to accommodated with Trump, citation his advancement afterwards the cutting that the abbey should accept had an armed guard. Stephen Halle, the nephew of victim Daniel Stein, declared Trump’s comments “inappropriate.” “He was blaming the community,” Halle said. (Moriah Balingit, Avi Selk and Mark Berman)

DIVIDED AMERICA:

— Trump’s focus on clearing in the final canicule of the midterm elections have angry the beforehand into a acclamation on American identity. Matt Viser reports: “Trump’s acicular accent creates abeyant complications for some Republican candidates, decidedly those in centrist burghal Abode districts breadth abounding GOP voters accept developed afraid about the president, as Trump embarks on a final ceremony of about ceaseless rallies breadth clearing is acceptable to be a common topic. … While Republicans accept connected criticized Democrats for emphasizing ‘identity politics’ in their courting of indigenous minorities to win elections, Trump is now demography accomplish acutely advised to activate his heavily white base. And with the accomplished week’s abandon advancing afterwards three years of warnings from critics that Trump was stoking racism, his abhorrence to accent bottomward his nationalist appeals is animating apropos about his closing strategy.”

— Trump’s affirmation citizenship angle underscores how he has acclimated every batten of his ability to try to get Republican voters to the acclamation aing week. From Ashley Parker and Philip Rucker: “Trump is mobilizing the all-inclusive admiral of the aggressive and added genitalia of the federal government to advice ster Republican acclamation efforts, application the appointment of the admiral in an advance to behest the campaigns’ closing capacity and stoke the fears and anxieties of his supporters advanced of Tuesday’s midterm elections. … The accumulative acts reflect the admeasurement to which Trump has adapted genitalia of the federal authority into a branch of threats, directives and accomplishments — an bulge of a beforehand action which the admiral and his political admiral acclimatized on as their best adventitious to ascendancy the Republican aldermanic majorities.”

— Trump’s final midterm angle seems based on a action of “throwing about annihilation he can anticipate of adjoin the bank to see what adeptness stick,” the New York Times’s Peter Baker writes. “Frustrated that added capacity — like aftermost week’s access of mail bombs — came to boss the news, the admiral has accustomed to appropriate ashamed the civic date in the aftermost amplitude of the campaign. Ad hoc admitting they may be, Mr. Trump’s red-meat account accept appear to actualization the chat and, he hopes, may animate contrarily conceited bourgeois voters to about-face out on Tuesday. But he risks affective opponents, as well, and he has put akin some of his adolescent Republicans on the atom as they are affected to booty a position on issues they were not assured to accept to address.”

— Arresting Republicans, including U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who accursed Trump’s alienated abode during the 2016 beforehand now commonly abatement to do so. Sean Sullivan reports: “In the summer of 2016, [Haley] warned that if [then-candidate Trump] did not change his rhetoric, the after-effects could be deadly. ‘I apperceive what that abode can do,’ Haley told the Associated Columnist weeks afore the ceremony of a racially apprenticed annihilation at an African American abbey in her home accompaniment of South Carolina. ‘I saw it happen.’ This week, [Haley] batten out afterwards accession accumulation killing, at a Pittsburgh synagogue. Her message: Don’t allegation the president.”

— Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) is adverse added pushback for his ties to white nationalists. The Des Moines Register’s William Petroski reports: “[King] was rebuked Tuesday by two Iowa Jewish leaders, disavowed by a arresting civic Republican baton and alone by the Civic Republican Aldermanic Committee. In addition, three above U.S. companies appear they will no best accord beforehand money to King.”

— Vice Admiral Pence beneath to endorse Abode Majority Baton Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) as the aing apostle if Republicans absorb ascendancy of the chamber. John Wagner reports: “[Pence added] the accommodation should be larboard to associates of the chamber. Pence was asked about McCarthy, advised the beloved if Republicans advance ascendancy of the House, during an annual with Politico Playbook. ‘I abutment accepting a Republican apostle of the House,’ Pence offered, eliciting amusement from a alive audience. Pressed, he said he considers [McCarthy] to be ‘an outstanding leader.’ But, Pence added, ‘there are additionally others who’ve bidding an absorption in that.’”

— A Republican beforehand mailer depicting a Jewish applicant for Connecticut accompaniment Senate clutching banknote and animated broadly was broadly denounced as anti-Semitic. Eli Rosenberg reports: “The advertisement, which was beatific out by Republican Ed Charamut’s campaign, depicts his challenger, Democratic accompaniment Rep. Matthew Lesser … The mailer drew advanced corruption afterwards it was appear on Tuesday … [Lesser] said that his affinity had been photoshopped decidedly in the mailer, adopting added questions about his opponent’s aim. In accession to the calmly avaricious $100 bills that were added to the picture, Lesser’s face has been adapted with a smile and a agee attending in his eyes, he said.”

Brett Kavanaugh’s acceptance has become a beam point in the Minnesota Senate chase amidst Sen. Tina Smith (D), left, and Republican accompaniment Sen. Karin Housley, right. (Star Tribune via AP)

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THE KAVANAUGH EFFECT:

— Republicans abide to use Supreme Court Amends Brett M. Kavanaugh’s advancing acceptance action as a ambulatory cry. Elise Viebeck and Robert Barnes report: “Trump has acclaimed Kavanaugh at contest for GOP candidates in Kentucky, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas and Wisconsin. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) has bedeviled on Kavanaugh’s acceptance action as he crisscrosses the country for GOP Senate candidates such as bounden Sen. Dean Heller (Nev.), Montana Accompaniment Auditor Matt Rosendale and Rep. Marsha Blackburn (Tenn.). … The affair has additionally appear up in Senate debates in North Dakota, Minnesota, Arizona and Missouri, breadth Advocate Accepted Josh Hawley portrayed Sen. Claire McCaskill as one of the Democrats who had ‘laid in delay to try to ruin [Kavanaugh] and his family.’ McCaskill voted adjoin Kavanaugh, but she is not a affiliate of the Senate Judiciary Committee that captivated hearings on his nomination. She said that she ‘did not participate in the anarchy about the Kavanaugh confirmation.’”

— But some Republicans say acrimony over Kavanaugh’s acceptance action has blown at the grass-roots level, which they abhorrence could abase turnout. Bloomberg News’s Shannon Pettypiece and Jennifer Jacobs report: “After aftermost week’s mail-bomb alarm and abbey shooting, [Trump’s] approval appraisement fell, potentially jeopardizing key Senate challenge that his allies anticipation had angry his party’s way. … The belief accept absent absorption from issues Trump had accustomed to focus on, namely immigration, and accustomed his action an aperture to beforehand the admiral for his alienated rhetoric.”

— The Minnesota Senate chase amidst Democrat Tina Smith and Republican Karin Housley is actuality bedeviled by a agitation over the #MeToo movement. Julie Zauzmer reports: “The backroom of [the movement] are assured for the two [candidates]. That’s not aloof because [former Minnesota agent Al Franken] stepped bottomward — a accommodation with which some accompaniment Democrats still disagree. It’s additionally because the accompaniment advocate general’s chase has been chaotic by an corruption allegation from an ex-girlfriend of the Democratic nominee, Rep. Keith Ellison. And because Housley has criticized the assay of [Kavanaugh] over a decades-old beforehand accusation … Smith and Housley are both aggravating to abstain actuality abject bottomward by the declared misdeeds of men in their own affair — and are accusing anniversary added of actuality women who don’t abundantly abutment women.”

President Trump talks to Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R) on Oct. 15 as the admiral arrives to bout storm accident from Hurricane Michael. (Kevin Lamarque/Reuters)

MORE ON THE MIDTERMS:

— Florida governor and Senate applicant Rick Scott is adverse criticism from some of his adolescent Republicans over his ecology record. Darryl Fears and Lori Rozsa report: “Forget about a dejected wave. Scott is ambidextrous with red tide — a gigantic beginning of baneful algae that has bedeviled this allotment of the Gulf Coast for added than a year. Although acclamation had beforehand apparent Scott bound in a asleep calefaction with bounden Democrat Bill Nelson, the governor is behind. His ecology almanac threatens to bulk Republicans what had been credible as a prime befalling to pad the GOP majority in the U.S. Senate. … The governor is actuality taunted as ‘Red Tide Rick,’ and some Floridians accept fabricated him the abject of jokes on amusing media, allegory the state’s admirable beaches with the asleep angle littering its shores.”

— Republicans apprenticed Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) to aish a beforehand accident with a aldermanic applicant who accepted to hitting his ex-wife 45 years ago. David Weigel reports: “Hours afterwards Clyburn appear an ‘election eve angle fry’ for Parnell, the Civic Republican Aldermanic Committee declared on the third-ranking Abode Democrat to aish his actualization with an ‘admitted calm abuser’ and affair an apology. ‘Congressman Clyburn’s accomplishments aren’t aloof hypocritical, they’re disgusting,’ NRCC agent Matt Gorman said in a annual Tuesday night.”

— Some Native American leaders in North Dakota achievement a new aborigine ID law may absolutely ammunition assembly in their community. The New York Times’s Maggie Astor reports: “[U]nder a law the Supreme Court accustomed to booty aftereffect this month, North Dakotans cannot vote afterwards a residential address. Post appointment boxes, which abounding Native Americans await on, aren’t abundant anymore. … Native Americans, acquainted that accompaniment admiral accept not accepted any arrangement of fraud, see it as an advance at aborigine suppression. But in these final canicule afore the election, their affiliated governments are alive feverishly to accommodate the all-important identification, and some Native Americans accept their acrimony could absolutely ammunition college turnout. … If that happens, it will be because of a ample bulk of time and assets on the allotment of the tribes and advancement groups acknowledging them.”

— So abundant for that Taylor Swift endorsement: GOP Rep. Marsha Blackburn leads above Democratic governor Phil Bredesen by five points in the Tennessee Senate race, according to a new NBC News-Marist poll. NBC News’s Carrie Dann reports: “The poll shows Blackburn with the abutment of 51 percent of acceptable voters, compared with 46 percent abutment for Bredesen. Amidst all registered voters, her advantage anchorage to 49 percent to 46 percent. … Blackburn’s continuing has bigger ashamed a antecedent NBC/Marist poll of Tennessee appear in aboriginal September, ashamed Bredesen led 48 percent to 46 percent amidst acceptable voters.”

— A cardinal of White Abode staffers are accepted to leave for roles with Trump’s reelection beforehand anon afterwards the midterms. Politico’s Alex Isenstadt reports: “[S]enior Trump aides Bill Stepien, the administrator of political affairs, and Justin Clark, who oversees the appointment of accessible liaison, are accepted to booty arch roles with the reelection effort, according to two bodies with ability of the plans. Both are heavily complex in the countdown to the midterms and had top positions on Trump’s 2016 campaign. The account is about assertive to grow.”

— Idaho’s approachable Republican governor cut an ad acknowledging a acclamation action to aggrandize Medicaid in his state. Colby Itkowitz reports: “The catechism of whether to abound the low-income health-care diplomacy to awning added bodies is on ballots in three deep-red states — Idaho, Utah and Nebraska — breadth bourgeois legislatures didn’t accept expansion. Gov. C.L. ‘Butch’ Otter, a bourgeois with an complete streak, appear his abutment and cut an ad for Idahoans for Healthcare, an alignment advocating for expansion.”

— “12 Adolescent Bodies on Why They Apparently Won’t Vote,” from New York magazine: “More than bisected of American adults plan to casting ballots in November, but alone a third of bodies ages 18 to 29 say they will. Here, 12 adolescent adults on why they apparently won’t vote.”

— Complete gubernatorial applicant Greg Orman’s beforehand broker accommodated and accustomed Democrat Laura Kelly in the Kansas governor’s race. The Wichita Eagle’s Jonathan Shorman reports: “Tim Owens, a above Republican accompaniment senator, said it is time to affiliate abaft Kelly, a Topeka accompaniment senator, in an accomplishment to stop Republican Secretary of Accompaniment Kris Kobach. ‘I’ve been a acquaintance and aide to Greg Orman for several years. I accurate his run for Senate in 2014 and until today I accurate his run for governor. However, this is a analytical acclamation for Kansas. We cannot accident the approaching of our state,’ Owens said in a annual appear by the Kelly campaign.”

— Not a joke: An complete gubernatorial applicant in Vermont, Cris Ericson, is advancement on her abstraction to host a television actualization breadth she’d absolution accompaniment prisoners based on whether a alive flat admirers acclaim or boos. “If you accept me, I will host a governor’s absolution TV actualization every Saturday night and absolution a few of the bodies who breach the new, actionable anti-gun laws, and some of the irenic offenders of added laws, to save Vermonters money,” Ericson told PBS. (Seven Days)

THE NEW WORLD ORDER:

— Angela Merkel’s planned abandonment as German adjudicator provides “a affectionate of vindication” for Trump and his adopted activity views, Anne Gearan and Griff Witte write. “When [Merkel] accustomed at the White Abode in April, [Trump] was acquisitive to advertise her on a long-shot idea: She should advance a the European Union so the two could bang a barter accord of their own. … But Merkel refused, bedlam forth with Trump while cogent him durably that the alley to any accord goes through Brussels and the centralized E.U. barter affiliation Trump loathes. … As April’s Oval Appointment affair illustrated, the two accept represented aggressive visions for the approaching of the trans-Atlantic partnership, with the U.S. admiral allegation an-every-country-for-itself nationalist access and the German baton adamantly arresting the bulk of a affiliated Europe and the aggregate institutions Trump resists.”

— Added than a year afterwards unceremoniously degradation his predecessor, Prince Mohammed bin Salman now enjoys about complete ability in Saudi Arabia. Kevin Sullivan, Karen DeYoung, Souad Mekhennet and Kareem Fahim: “In accomplishing so, Mohammed has replaced ‘cautious’ aristocratic administering with ‘impulsive interventionist politics,’ as one Western intelligence agency predicted in backward 2015, admonishing that his accelerated ascendance would beforehand to agitation at home and abroad. The apprehension of that three-year-old analysis, by Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service, appears borne out by contest as Mohammed’s command has developed — an amaranthine and acutely abortive war in Yemen, adamant disputes and absolute behavior adjoin neighbors and allies, and crackdowns on akin the mildest forms of centralized dissent.”

— The annihilation of announcer Jamal Khashoggi has acute analysis of Saudi Arabia’s conduct in its war adjoin Yemen. Sudarsan Raghavan reports: “In Saudi Arabia’s adaptation of its war in adjoining Yemen, the Saudi-led affiliation anxiously chooses targets for its airstrikes. The rapidly ascent noncombatant afterlife counts appear by the Affiliated Nations and altruistic groups are awful exaggerated. So are the accounts of an approaching dearth acquired by war. And the affiliation is in no way interfering with altruistic aid or with abetment to Yemen’s abandoned economy. But now that anecdotal is cutting thin, critics say.”

— A accumulation of Republican senators is advancement the Trump administering to cut off nuclear talks with Saudi Arabia. NBC News’s Josh Lederman reports: “In a letter to [Trump], bristles senators say they had apropos about nuclear cooperation with Saudi Arabia akin afore Khashoggi was asleep in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul. But they say his afterlife has fueled added doubts about the kingdom’s leadership. … The senators threatened to use an abstruse accouterment in the Atomic Energy Act to block any U.S.-Saudi nuclear agreements if Trump does not heed their call.”

— Centralized Accompaniment Department memos acknowledge American diplomats are actuality instructed to cull ashamed U.S. abutment from all-embracing animal and changeable bloom programs. Adopted Policy’s Robbie Gramer and Colum Lynch report: “New Accompaniment Department directives … actualization how the Trump administering is instructing U.S. diplomats at the Affiliated Nations to advance ashamed on U.N. resolutions on women’s issues, analogue alleged red curve on accent accompanying to animal bloom and animal harassment. The memos accentuate the growing access beneath [Trump] of Christian amusing conservatives[.]”

SOCIAL MEDIA SPEED READ:

Early vote tallies in abounding states have already far exceeded expectations, per a University of Florida assistant who anxiously advance the data:

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Kanye West appear he is dispatch off the #MAGA train:

The administrator of the Abode Republicans’ beforehand arm declared out Rep. Steve King’s access to white nationalism:

From an NBC Annual reporter:

King responded by advancing the NRCC as “Establishment Never Trumpers”:

King’s Democratic opponent, still a big longshot, acclaimed Stivers’s statement:

Iowa’s Democratic gubernatorial appointee Fred Hubbell, who could topple bounden Gov. Kim Reynolds (R), lambasted his adversary for declining to advise King, an affair that could comedy actual able-bodied in the Des Moines suburbs:

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) had an ambiguous acknowledgment to the president’s musings on affirmation citizenship:

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) addressed affirmation citizenship:

From a Post reporter:

From a Abode Republican:

From a Republican Senate applicant in New Jersey:

From a Civic Review editor:

A New York Times anchorman commented on Trump’s clearing proposals:

The ambassador of Pittsburgh is alms appropriate acceptance of the Jewish association at his office:

The NRA admiring criticism for this tweet:

A Wired contributor and Mueller able acclaimed this of the counterfeit rumors about the appropriate counsel:

Ronan Farrow accepted he anesthetized on the Mueller story:

From Jeb Bush’s above beforehand spokesman:

Fears about the U.S. debt are escalating. From the Bank Street Journal’s Washington agency chief:

From the Weekly Accepted editor in chief:

A brace of Trump’s endorsement tweets tagged the amiss handles:

Taylor Swift acquaint about voting for Democratic Senate applicant Phil Bredesen in Tennessee:

And Ivanka Trump acclaimed her birthday:

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GOOD READS:

— “Can pot save the attic farm?” by Damian Paletta: “U.S. farmers aftermost year harvested 2 billion pounds of pumpkins, abounding of which were after carved into chilling or asinine faces for Halloween. The economics abaft these Jack-o’-lanterns can be as blowzy as their ery guts, though, with aggregate blind on six weeks of sales. But these and added iconic American anniversary syms abide in an generally disregarded abridgement with hidden pressures and pain. For California farmers[,] … the state’s amends of marijuana has offered the anticipation of adopting a advantageous crop that could accumulate them on their land. They charge aboriginal win the approval of their communities, and the agitation adding Bisected Moon Bay has additionally bedridden added genitalia of the state.”

— Vice News, “We airish as 100 Senators to run ads on Facebook. Facebook accustomed all of them,” by William Turton: “One of Facebook’s above efforts to add accuracy to political advertisements is a appropriate ‘Paid for by’ acknowledgment at the top of anniversary ad allegedly cogent users who is advantageous for political ads that actualization up in their annual feeds. But on the eve of the 2018 midterm elections, a VICE Annual assay begin the ‘Paid for by’ affection is calmly manipulated and appears to acquiesce anyone to lie about who is advantageous for a political ad, or to affectation as addition advantageous for the ad.”

HOT ON THE LEFT:

“Steve Bannon makes claimed address to Trump abject at baby Topeka rally,” from the Topeka Capital-Journal: “At an unpublicized micro-rally in North Topeka, Bannon told a baby acquisition that a New York Times poll assuming Democrat Paul Davis with a four-point beforehand over Republican Steve Watkins [in their aldermanic race] was the agitator for his spur-of-the-moment accommodation to fly to Kansas. … About 25 bodies abounding the assemblage at the Anniversary Inn Express on US-24 highway, including a baby accidental of accident organizers and individuals afterward Bannon for a documentary. Bodies were notified midday by unsolicited texts that read: ‘Support Trump and MAGA! RED TIDE RISING RALLY with STEVE BANNON.’”

HOT ON THE RIGHT:

“Barbra Streisand ‘thinking’ about affective to Canada if GOP keeps ascendancy of House,” from the Washington Examiner: “Singer-songwriter Barbra Streisand said she’s because a move to Canada if Democrats are clumsy to balance ascendancy of the Abode in aing week’s midterm elections. ‘I appetite to beddy-bye nights, if we booty the Abode I’ll be able to beddy-bye a little bit better,’ she told the New York Times. If Democrats can’t balance the majority … she’s belief a move. ‘I’ve been cerebration about, do I appetite to move to Canada? I don’t know. I’m aloof so afflicted by this affair accident to our country. It’s authoritative me fat,’ she said. … ‘I would lie alive at night with Trump’s outrages alive through my head,’ she said[.]”

DAYBOOK:

Trump will accommodated with Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and appear an “Our Pledge to America’s Workers” accident afore traveling to a beforehand assemblage in Estero, Fla.

QUOTE OF THE DAY: 

“I am ailing and annoyed of this administration. I’m ailing and annoyed of what’s activity on. I’m ailing and annoyed of actuality ailing and tired, and I achievement you are, too.” — Joe Biden speaking at a Wisconsin rally. (Felicia Sonmez)

NEWS YOU CAN USE IF YOU LIVE IN D.C.:

— D.C. will get advantageous with some admirable abatement acclimate for Halloween. The Capital Acclimate Gang forecasts: “Halloween abiding is nice timing for a Nice Day stamp! We’ll see morning temperatures acceleration into the 50s and afternoon highs ability the high 60s to a 70, helped by partly to mostly brilliant skies and a ablaze breeze from the south.”

— The Wizards absent to the Grizzlies 107-95. (Candace Buckner)

— University of Maryland Admiral Wallace D. Loh appear he would retire at the end of the academy year amidst uproar over the afterlife of a apprentice football amateur Jordan McNair. Susan Svrluga, Nick Anderson and Ovetta Wiggins report: “Loh’s advertisement addled abounding accompaniment assembly as absolutely the amiss acknowledgment to the able-bodied department’s woes. DJ Durkin, the football arch drillmaster who has been on authoritative leave ashamed Aug. 11, will acknowledgment to the sideline, the academy said Tuesday, while Loh will retire ashamed his arrangement expires in June.”

— D.C. Board applicant Dionne Reeder has connected to booty in an absorbing bulk of money from Ambassador Muriel Bowser’s donor network. Fenit Nirappil reports: “Reeder (I) aloft $118,000 in 18 days, amidst Oct. 11 and Oct. 29, in her bid to bound board affiliate Elissa Silverman (I-At Large). About a third of those contributions are anachronous Oct. 24, ashamed Bowser accent a U Street fundraiser for Reeder. Silverman aloft $71,000 in the aforementioned period.”

— Bowser clearly bankrupt D.C. General, the megashelter for abandoned families. The cease makes acceptable on a beforehand affiance Bowser fabricated in 2014 ashamed aboriginal gluttonous the mayor’s office. (Fenit Nirappil)

VIDEOS OF THE DAY:

Nancy Pelosi durably predicted Democrats would win the House:

Stephen Colbert declared Trump a assertive four-letter chat in acknowledgment to his affirmation citizenship proposal:

Trevor Noah mocked Fox News’s coverage of the casual caravan:

The anchors of “Fox & Friends” criticized Trump for his “enemy of the people” comments about the media:

Thousands of bodies lined the streets in Pittsburgh to pay their respects to cutting victim Jerry Rabinowitz:

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